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Italy vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina - 6/11/19, Euro Cup Qualifications, Group J, Pick, Odds and Prediction

Bosnia & Herzegovina at Italy
Date & Time Tuesday June 11, 2019, 2:45 PM (EDT)
Juventus Center
Turin, Italy
The Line
Italy -275, Bosnia +850, Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-125)
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Italy is hosting Bosnia in round 4 of Euro Cup Qualifications.

After missing out on the last year’s World Cup in Russia, Italy has signed Roberto Mancini as a head coach and went on a 7-game streak without a loss. In their last 4 games, Italy has scored 12 goals while hasn’t conceded a single goal. In their last game against Greece, Italy had a perfect game with 70% of ball possession, 10 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, 5 big chances created and 90% of correct passes. Italy dealt with Greece in the first half with goals from Barella, Insigne, and Bonucci in the span of 10 minutes. After last year’s disaster and not qualifying for the World Cup, Mancini has decided to make some changes in the roster and young players like Kean, Zaniolo, Barella, and Sensi got called up while the core players like Chiellini, Bonucci, and Verratti are still here. Italy is in a Group J with Finald, Greece, Armenia, Liechtenstein, and Bosnia and is yet to concede a goal in these qualifications while they scored 11 goals in 3 games. Italy will win this group and will finally get qualified to a big competition but it's hard to say if they will be one of the favorites because there are teams who are playing much better soccer at the moment.

Bosnia is pretty shaken after their surprising loss against Finland a few days ago and no one is feeling confident about this team. In this match against Finland, Bosnia had 50% of ball possession, only 1 shot on goal, and 82% of correct passes. Bosnia was hanging in this match during the first half, but with two fast goals in the second half from Finland, Bosnians confidence dropped rapidly and they weren’t able to recover. Overall, Bosnia is a solid team with players like Dzeko, Pjanic, and Kolasinac who are all doing well in their clubs but the rest of the team is still inexperienced ups and downs will happen and it's on coach Prosinecki to deal with this and get his players to form and morale up. Bosnia has lost only 2 of their last 13 games which shows that they have potential and this loss was expected just not against Finland who is alongside Greece their biggest competitors for second place in this group. Bosnia will look to bounce back after this unfortunate loss and all of their important players are healthy which means that coach Prosinecki will have his best players at his disposal but some changes are expected because not was going their way against Finland.

Italy and Bosnia haven’t played before so there are no trends to look at. Quality is obviously on the Italian side who is playing at home which will give Italians a certain boost. Italy hasn’t lost any of their last 14 home matches and hasn’t conceded a goal in their last 6 matches. Bosnia will look to bounce back but I don’t think they can go against this Italy.

Italy -1.5 (+115)

Being from Croatia I was raised with soccer all around me and I loved to watch and play soccer ever since i was little kid, especially after Croatia won third place in 1998 World Cup in France. I watch and follow soccer on a daily basis and to get the oppurtunity to write about it is amazing. 

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