Italy vs. Brazil
|Date & Time||Tuesday June 18, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)|
Stade du Hainaut
The Line: Italy +211 / Brazil +152 / Draw +216 -- Over/Under: 2.5
Italy and Brazil meet Tuesday in FIFA Women's World Cup at Stade du Hainaut.
Italy is coming off a 5-0 win over Jamaica and has already locked up a spot in the elimination rounds by winning its first two matches overall. In its last meeting, Cristiana Girelli produced a hat trick and Le Azzurre held the Jamaicans to just two shots on goal. With three players who have found the back of the net at least twice, the Italians are flexing their muscle on the offensive side and have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 11 matches overall. During this four-match winning streak, Italy is outscoring its opponents 12-3. While one of the more impressive teams up to this point through two matches, it’s going to be interesting to see how Italy handles this match considering its already advanced through the group stages.
Brazil needs a victory here to improve its chances of advancing to the next rounds and not being bounced in the group stages of the world cup for the first time since 1995. Brazil is fresh off a frustrating loss to Australia where it blew a 2-0 lead and allowed three unanswered goals. It makes it even worse for the Brazilians that the game winner was an own goal from Monica. Brazil has now lost 10 of its last 11 matches overall and has given up two or more goals in five of its last eight matches. Given the current form and the way it just lost, it wouldn’t be shocking at all to see Selecao come out flat and struggle to put together a winning performance. Brazil needs another fast start to kind of settle the nerves and left the spirits of what feels like a fragile team at the moment.
Brazil and Italy met twice in 2016 friendlies with Brazil winning both meetings by a combined score of 8-4. Brazil is 3-0-0 against Italy all-time.
Italy at this price is worth a look when you consider how well this team has played lately, but I’m not sure how motivated this side will be with a spot in the next round already locked up. This is a must-win for Brazil. With that said, the over feels like the safer bet given the offensive potential on both sides and the fact neither team has had trouble scoring this tournament. The two meetings between these clubs a couple of years ago also produced a combined 12 goals. This total feels a tad bit too low.
Give me the over.