Paris Saint-Germain at Stade Reims
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 3:00 PM (Stade Auguste Delaune)
Stade Reims welcome PSG to the Stade Auguste-Delaune on Wednesday for the second Coupe de la Ligue semi-final. Reims currently sit eighth in Ligue 1, while PSG are eight points clear at the top of the table.
Reims are without a win in their previous three league games and also suffered defeat to Monaco in their Coupe de France Round of 64 tie earlier in the month. After drawing with Lyon, Reims lost to Nimes before drawing with Amiens in their most recent outing. It’s fair to say that Reims have struggled for consistency this season.
On the other hand, PSG are once again flying high at the summit of the French top-flight. The Parisians have won 16 of their 20 league games this term and come into this game on the back of a 4-1 thrashing over Monaco. Kylian Mbappe netted a double, while Neymar and Pablo Sarabia completed the scoring against Monaco.
When you look at the respective goalscoring records of PSG and Reims in Ligue 1 this season, you can see a couple of interesting trends. PSG have scored 50 goals in 20 games (at an average of 2.5 goals per game), while Reims have only scored 17 (at an average of less than one goal per game).
PSG have scored 19 more goals than the next highest scoring side Lyon, while only Dijon and Nimes have scored fewer goals than Reims in the French top-flight this season.
However, Reims actually boast a better defensive record than PSG. Reims have conceded just 13 league goals this season, while PSG have conceded 14. What Reims lack in attack, they make up for by being extremely solid defensively.
PSG head into this clash as the clear favorites at 1.30. By contrast, a Reims win is at 7.50. I think PSG will win, but I also believe you can find better value in the bookies’ odds by looking at some of the different markets when it comes to betting on this matchup.
Due to Reims outstanding defensive record, I can see PSG struggling to break Reims down. PSG may have the likes of Mbappe and Neymar, but Reims won’t be going down without a fight. For that reason, under 3.5 goals makes sense here.