Carla Suarez Navarro vs. Agnieszka Radwanska
|Date & Time||Monday January 25, 2016, 10:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Agnieszka Radwanska and Carla Suarez Navarro square off in the quarterfinal of the 2016 Australian Open.
Agnieszka Radwanska is coming off a three set victory over Anna-Lena Friedsam and has lost one set this tournament. Radwanska is getting at least 58 percent of her first serves in play and is winning at least 64 percent of those points. Radwanska has combined for 48 winners in her last two matches and has had 14 or less unforced errors in three of her four matches. If Radwanska is going to make a deeper run this tournament, she has to do better with her second serve, as she’s won 46 or less percent of her second serve points in three of her four matches. Radwanska has lost in two quarterfinal grand slam appearances since 2013 and has reached a semifinal four times overall.
Carla Suarez Navarro is coming off a three set victory over Daria Gavrilova and has lost two sets this tournament. Navarro is getting at least 63 percent of her first serves in play and is winning at least 65 percent of those points. Navarro has racked up 40 winners in her last two matches and is winning at least 40 percent of her second serve points. The downside for Navarro is the fact she’s had no less than 30 unforced errors in three of her four matches, a number that must improve if she’s going to make the deepest run of a grand slam in her career. Navarro has never made the semifinal of a grand slam in her career, losing all four of her previous quarterfinal appearances.
These two have played three times in the past, and Radwanska has won two of those meetings. The most recent meeting was in last year’s Miami Masters, a match Navarro won in three sets. Before that, Radwanska beat Navarro in the 2012 US Open and 2009 Canadian Masters. This will be the fourth time Radwanska and Navarro meet on hard court.
Navarro is making far too many unforced errors for my taste, something that isn’t going to work against an experienced and talented Radwanska. I have to side with Agnieszka in this matchup.