Alex Bolt vs. Alexander Zverev - 01/18/19 ATP Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alex Bolt vs. Alexander Zverev
Friday, January 18, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Melbourne Park)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alex Bolt and Alexander Zverev meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Alex Bolt is coming off a five sets win over Gilles Simon that took 51 games to decide. In the victory, Bolt won 68 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Bolt got easily the biggest win of his career, as he hit 71 winners and won the final two sets to close the deal in front of screaming Australian fans. Bolt obviously has little ATP experience or success, but defeating Simon and Jack Sock could be what the 26-year-old needs to help take his career to that next level. Anything after this for Bolt should be considered the cherry on top of the sundae. Bolt has a chance to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Bolt has split his last eight matches on hard court.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a five sets win over Jeremy Chardy that took 55 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 81 percent of his first serve points and 49 percent of his second serve points. Zverev hit 71 winners in his victory and was lights out with his first serve, but he played nearly four hours in a match where he won the first two sets rather easily. Give credit for Zverev finding a way to push through the frustration, but the added wear and tear on the court could prevent a longer tournament run. Contenders for grand slam titles don’t want to spend any more time on the court than they have too. Zverev has a chance to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the third time in his career. Zverev has won five of his last six matches on hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Bolt beat two respectable players and has the major crowd advantage, so him maybe taking a set here can’t be completely out of the question. I’m also concerned about Zverev having to play a near four hour match because he couldn’t close the deal. At the end of the day, however, Bolt is somebody with little to no ATP experience and is going up against a top-10 player who is at the point in his career where he should be making deep grand slam runs. If Bolt wins this match, it would be the story of the tournament and one of the bigger tennis upsets in quite some time.
I look for a bounce back performance from Zverev, as he cruises in straight sets.