Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex De Minaur
|Date & Time||Saturday November 10, 2018, 4:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Next Generation ATP Finals.
Alex De Minaur is coming off a five sets win over Jaume Munar that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, De Minaur won 76 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. De Minaur won 72 percent of his total service points and saved all five of his break points. De Minaur has yet to lose a match this tournament and has been broken once in his last 12 sets combined. De Minaur had to really work to win his last match, but he’s serving well and has come away with timely aces to distance himself from his opponent. De Minaur has a chance at his first ever singles title and can also secure an undefeated prize bonus of 24 grand with a victory here. De Minaur has won five of his last eight matches on indoor hard court.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a five sets win over Andrey Rublev that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 80 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Tsitsipas won 71 percent of his total service points and was only broken once in the match that took a little over two hours. Tsitsipas has now won 12 of his last 15 matches overall, and while he had some hiccups in his last match and even hurt his hand by punching a bench, he’s really starting to grow up before our eyes and is becoming a complete and reliable player. Like his opponent, Tsitsipas also hasn’t lost a match this tournament and will lockup an undefeated bonus with a victory. Tsitsipas has won 10 of his last 12 matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Tsitsipas has won all three matches. The most recent match was in Tokyo of this year, a match Tsitsipas won in three sets. Tsitsipas is 6-1 against De Minaur in career sets played.
De Minaur is playing well and deserves a shot to win this match. However, I said from the start of the tournament that Tsitsipas should be favored to win it and I’m not picking against him. He’s been the most consistent player heading into this event and his recent meltdown is the only thing that you can hold against him.
Tsitsipas should win this tournament.