Dzumhur vs. Zverev
|Date & Time||Friday June 1, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Damir Dzumhur meet in the third round of the 2018 tennis French Open.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a five sets win over Dušan Lajović that took 45 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 78 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Zverev was sharp with his first serve, but he produced 53 unforced errors and seven double faults, which made the made much longer than it should have been. Give Zverev credit for finding a way to win a match he probably doesn’t win a couple of years ago, but that lengthy of a match when he already has played a ton of tennis this year doesn’t help his chances for a deep run. Wear and tear is often the cause for a lot of players being sent home early in grand slam play, and Zverev is coming off a grueling five set match, emotionally and physically. Zverev hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the second time in his career. Zverev has won 15 of his last 16 matches on clay court.
Damir Dzumhur is coming off a five sets win over Radu Albot that took 49 games to decide. In the victory, Dzumhur won 60 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Dzumhur was able to advance by winning 45 percent of his return points and hitting 52 winners. The problem is Dzumhur has to be much more consistent with his serve and clean up the 80 unforced errors if this is going to be his breakout grand slam appearance. The large number of silly mistakes has been the downfall for Dzumhur, and it will certainly send him home in the third round of that number of errors continue. Dzumhur hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Dzumhur has four career wins over top-10 players, two of which came last year. Dzumhur has won four of his last six matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2017 Shenzhen Open, a match Dzumhur won in straight sets. The match took 22 games to be decided.
The good thing for Zverev is that his opponent is coming off a match just as lengthy, so nobody has a fatigue advantage. Zverev has played a ton of tennis this year and a five setter can’t help, but he finds ways to win and usually has been serving out of his mind. Dzumhur won the only meeting, but he has zero grand slam success and the German is much better than he was a year ago.
Right now, Zverev is in the same class as Nadal. Don’t bet against them in their current form.