Diego Schwartzman vs. Alexander Zverev
|Date & Time||Thursday November 1, 2018, 10:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Diego Schwartzman meet in the third round of the 2018 tennis Paris Masters.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a straight sets win over Frances Tiafoe that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 78 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Zverev won 63 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 13 break points. Zverev continues to be a bit sloppy with his second serve, but he saved eight of 10 break points in his opening match and has been successful with his return. Still, in order for Zverev to make a title run in this tournament, he’s got to win better than 50 percent of his second serve points, something he’s failed to do in each of his last three matches. Zverev has won six of his last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Diego Schwartzman is coming off a three sets win over Feliciano Lopez that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Schwartzman won 74 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Schwartzman won 66 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 15 break points. Schwartzman won a near two and a half hour match, and that has to give him confidence considering he entered this tournament losing five of his last seven matches. Schwartzman has a chance to win two matches in a single tournament for the second time since the US Open. Schwartzman has three career wins over top-10 players, with one of those wins coming this year. Schwartzman has split his last six matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played once, which was in Kitzbuhel in 2014, a match Schwartzman won in straight sets. The match took 13 games to be decided.
Zverev obviously isn’t the same player he was four years ago, and he served well enough in his opening match to think he’ll have enough in the tank to win this match. Schwartzman hasn’t been consistent enough and doesn’t have a great reputation against top tier players. We’ll have to see something we haven’t seen from Schwartzman in months for him to win this match.
Zverev should win this match in straight sets.