Thiem vs. Zverev
|Date & Time||Tuesday June 5, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Dominic Thiem meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis French Open.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a five sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 49 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 74 percent of his first serve points and 49 percent of his second serve points. Zverev managed to make a big comeback to advance to his first grand slam quarterfinal, as he hit 63 winners and broke his opponent 12 times. Zverev continues to find ways to win when he doesn’t necessarily play his best, but like I said before, the amount of tennis he’s played has to be catching up to him. Zverev has played 18 sets to get to this point, and that type of wear and tear is eventually going to catch up to him. Zverev has won each of his last six quarterfinal matches overall. Zverev hopes to make his first ever grand slam semifinal appearance. Zverev has won 17 of his last 18 matches on clay court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a four sets win over Kei Nishikori that took 36 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 85 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Thiem hit 41 winners and was broken just once in his fourth round victory, a formula that's going to result in a lot of victories if it continues. Thiem has pretty much crushed through his first four matches despite dropping a set in each one, and he’s now in the quarters of the French Open for a third straight year. Thiem is in great form right now, fresh off a Lyon Open title and is in the quarters for the fifth time in his last six tournaments. Thiem has split his last eight quarterfinal matches overall. Thiem looks to make his third career grand slam semifinal, all three taking place in the French Open. Thiem has won eight straight matches on clay court.
These two have played six times and Thiem has won four of those matches. The most recent match was in this years Madrid Masters, a match Zverev won in straight sets. Thiem is 3-1 against Zverev on clay court.
Thiem has had to work less to get to this point, has built a reputation of playing well in this tournament and has the edge over Zverev on clay. However, the German had his way with him a few weeks ago, which included losing just 12 of 54 service points. Zverev is the hottest player in the world outside of Nadal and despite being shaky at times, he continues to muscle his way through matches and shows great mental toughness. It’s tough to bet against Zverev right now regardless of all the draining sets played.
The amount of tennis he’s played is eventually going to catch up to him, but until it does, I’m going to continue to back him. Give me Zverev to reach the French Open semis.