Alexander Zverev vs. Dustin Brown
|Date & Time||Thursday June 13, 2019, 5:00 AM (EDT)|
Tennis Club Weissenhof
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Dustin Brown meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Stuttgart Open.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a quarterfinal appearance in the French Open and is playing much better tennis than he was about a month ago. Zverev had a period where he couldn’t get anything going with his serve and was an unforced error machine, and it was getting to the point where you ha to question if he had some sot of injury issue going on. Still, Zverev found his shotmaking skills and making his second career grand slam quarterfinal has to give him a much needed confidence boost to kind of get things back on track. Zverev has lost the opening match of a tournament twice in his last six tries. Zverev has won three of his last four matches on grass court.
Dustin Brown is coming off a straight sets win over John Millman that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Brown won 84 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Brown won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his five break points. Brown hit 16 aces in the victory and saved four of his five break points. Brown simply needed that victory, as it’s been a struggle for him lately and that win was actually his first on the main tour since the 2017 US Open. Brown has spent majority of the last two years in challenger play. Brown has four career wins over top-10 players, but none of those wins have come since 2017. Brown has split his last six matches on grass court.
These two have played once, which was a 2014 challenger match, a meeting Zverev won in straight sets. The match took 22 games to be decided.
Brown has potential to push quality players when he’s playing well, as he has a big serve and covers a lot of ground defensively. The problem is Brown has had serious trouble competing in main tour matches and has had problems with unforced errors. Zverev still has to iron out some wrinkles, but he’s in much better shape after success in the French Open and is a top favorite to win this title. Zverev also has to be motivated given that he'll have the home crowd behind him.
Zverev should win this match in straight sets.