Struff vs. Zverev
|Date & Time||Thursday April 19, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Jan-Lennard Struff meet in the third round of the 2018 tennis Monte Carlo Masters.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a three sets win over Gilles Muller that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 83 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Zverev managed to comeback after dropping the first set, and he won 44 percent of his return points while giving himself 14 break chances. Zverev has played aton of tennis so far this season, and while he allows opponents to hang around at times, he’s shown he can find that second gear to close the deal. When Zverev has his serve working and is getting free points, the confidence and the rest of his game picks up. Zverev hopes to make the quarterfinals of the for the first time and the sixth ATP World Tour Masters 1000 quarterfinal of his career. Zverev has won seven of his last eight matches on clay court.
Jan-Lennard Struff is coming off a straight sets win over Fabio Fognini that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Struff won 93 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Struff lost just two of 27 first serve points and had four aces. If Struff can dominate his serve like he has in his first two matches and get a ton of free points, he’ll give himself a shot to pull off the upset. Of course, that’s a big if, given Zverev’s return ability. Struff has one career win over a top-10 player, which was against Stan Wawrinka in the 2016 Paris Masters. Struff has a chance to make his first ever ATP World Tour Masters 1000 quarterfinal. Struff matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Zverev has won all three matches, two of which in straight sets. The most recent match was in the 2017 Bavarian International Tennis Championships. All three matches between these two players have been on clay court.
Struff has zero career success against Zverev, and he usually folds in big matches. Zverev may be getting tired with all the tennis under his belt in such a short span, but he’s easily the better player here and should have all the confidence given the history between these two.
Zverev reaches the quarterfinals in straight sets.