Cilic vs. Zverev
|Date & Time||Sunday November 12, 2017, 3:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Zverev -125 / Cilic +100 -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Marin Cilic meet in the 2017 ATP World Tour Finals.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a three sets loss to Robin Haase that took 25 games to decide. In the loss, Zverev won 65 percent of his first serve points and 42 percent of his second serve points. Zverev has lost three of his last five matches, and you have to wonder if the 20-year-old has hit the wall considering he’s played over 70 matches this season. Of course, when in good form, Zverev can hold his own against anybody and as the serve and shotmaking ability to takeover a match. However, Zverev has struggled with his serve in his last two matches and is coming off a match in which he won just 23 percent of his return points. It’ll be interesting to see how Zverev looks early on, as a strong start is key to making a run in this tournament. Zverev has split his last eight matches on hard court.
Marin Cilic is coming off a straight sets loss to Julien Benneteau that took 25 games to decide. In the loss, Cilic won 67 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Cilic has had a very consistent season for the most part and hopes to finally breakthrough in the ATP Finals after being bounced twice in the round robin stages. Cilic is coming off a match in which he struggled with his serve more than usual, but he’s had plenty of rest since the quarterfinals in the Paris Masters and should be ready to control the pace on this court. As long as the court is playing fast, Cilic and his hard hitting is going to give anybody problems moving forward. Cilic has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played four times and Zverev has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Madrid Masters, a match Zverev won in three sets. The last two matches have gone the distance and Cilic’s only win came in the 2015 Citi Open, the first time these two played.
Cilic at even money is worth a look given the recent form and hit or miss play from Zverev. However, I’m going to chalk that up to fatigue, and if that’s the case, he should be fine and plenty rested for this match. Zverev can match Cilic’s power game and I trust him to win the return battle as well. There’s also the mental edge, as Zverev has found a way to win each of the last three times these two have played.
Give me Zverev and the cheap price.