Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Berrettini
|Date & Time||Tuesday May 14, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a quarterfinal loss in Madrid and has split his last 10 matches overall. It’s been an up and down year for Zverev and he simply can’t sustain success. Zverev was better in his most recent tournament and was more consistent with his serve, but he had four double faults in his losing effort and it’s those silly unforced errors that have contributed to these losses. Confidence can’t be too high for the talented German, but we know it’s likely only a matter of time before he gets things corrected and starts putting together deep tournament runs. Zverev has lost his opening match of a tournament twice in his last seven tries. Zverev has split his last six matches on clay court.
Matteo Berrettini is coming off a straight sets win over Lucas Pouille that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Berrettini won 88 percent of his first serve points and 42 percent of his second serve points. Berrettini won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his eight break points. Berrettini saved his only break point and has now won 15 of his last 19 sets played. Berrettini could get a higher percentage of his first serves in play, but he’s been on fire this clay season. Berrettini hopes to win at least two matches for the third straight tournament. Berrettini has four career wins over top-10 players. Berrettini has won 10 of his last 11 matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in Rome last year, a match Zverev won in straight sets. The match took 20 games to be decided.
Berrettini is probably the safer bet based on his success on clay these past couple of months and the struggles of Zverev, who doesn’t look like himself. With that said, Zverev did show progress in Madrid and pushed Stefanos Tsitsipas to three competitive sets. Maybe it’s a turning point in him righting the ship.
Assuming Zverev is returning to the player we’re used to seeing in good form, he should win this match.