Alexander Zverev vs. Nicolas Jarry
|Date & Time||Saturday May 25, 2019, 9:30 AM (EDT)|
Tennis Club de Genève
The Line: Zverev -214 / Jarry +186 -- Over/Under:
Nicolas Jarry and Alexander Zverev meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Geneva Open.
Nicolas Jarry is coming off a straight sets win over Radu Albot that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Jarry won 77 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Jarry won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his seven break points. Jarry got 64 percent of his first serves in play and saved four of his five break points. Jarry has won all eight sets this tournament and has sprinkled in 29 aces as well. A real run that’s come out of nowhere, Jarry is easily playing his best tennis of the year right now. Jarry looks to win his first career singles title, and this is his first and only final appearance outside of last years Brasil Open. Jarry has won five of his last six matches on clay court.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a three sets win over Federico Delbonis that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 81 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Zverev won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his 14 break points. Zverev got 67 percent of his first serves in play and piled on 15 aces. Zverev can still clean up the unforced errors and improve his second serve, but the talented German will take wins however they come given the issues he had entering this tournament. Zverev looks to win his first title since last years ATP Finals and his 11th title of his career. Zverev has won 10 of his last 14 final appearances and is 4-2 in final appearances on clay. Zverev has won five of his last seven matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in Barcelona of this year, a match Jarry won in three sets. The match was decided in 34 games.
Jarry just beat Zverev on clay last month and is probably the more motivated player considering he has yet to win a singles title. With that said, Zverev should win this match and could do so comfortably if he improves his second serve and cleans up the silly unforced errors. I said before the tournament that this was a chance for Zverev to get back on track, and while he hasn’t completely turned things around, he’s playing well enough to get the job done.
Zverev should win his first title of the year.