Alexander Zverev vs. Novak Djokovic
|Date & Time||Thursday June 6, 2019, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
Roland Garros Stadium
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis French Open.
Alexander Zverev is coming off a four sets win over Fabio Fognini that took 38 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 70 percent of his first serve points and 76 percent of his second serve points. Zverev won 58 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 12 break points. Zverev got 77 percent of his first serves in play and was broken just twice. It hasn’t been a perfect tournament for Zverev, who has lost five sets this tournament, but he gives himself an honest shot as long as he continues to get his first serve in play. Zverev needs as many free points as possible to have a chance here. Zverev looks to make his first career grand slam semifinal appearance. Zverev lost his only other grand slam quarterfinal, which came in last years French Open. Zverev has won eight straight matches on clay court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 86 percent of his first serve points and 69 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 80 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his seven break points. Djokovic got 62 percent of his first serves in play and saved his only break point. Djokovic has won all 12 sets this tournament and hasn’t been broken in each of his last seven sets. With three of his four matches being decided in under two hours, Djokovic is in as good of form and as rested as you can possibly be up to this point. Djokovic hopes to make his fourth straight grand slam semifinal and first in the French Open since 2016. Djokovic has won 13 of his last 16 grand slam quarterfinal matches. Djokovic has won 13 of his last 14 matches on clay court.
These two have played five times and Zverev has won three of those meetings, including the most recent match last year in London. However, it’s important to note that Djokovic beat Zverev in London four days previously. Zverev also won the only match on clay in 2017 Rome. All five meetings have been decided in straight sets.
The history I guess suggests Zverev has a shot to win this match, but we must remember he entered this tournament in extremely shaky form, and while he’s won four matches to get here, he’s still left the door open for past opponents. Unless Zverev can bring his A game and completely dominate his service game, he’s going to have trouble hanging around with Djokovic playing the way he is currently. I’m just not confident Zverev can raise his game on the biggest stage until he does it.
Give me Djokovic in three or four sets.