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Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Angelique Kerber 2017 Toray Pan Pacific Open Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Kerber vs. Pavlyuchenkova
Date & Time Saturday September 23, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
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Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Angelique Kerber meet in the semifinals of the 2017 Toray Pan Pacific Open.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a three sets win over Barbora Strycova that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 72 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova has managed to win all three of her matches this tournament in three sets and is coming off a match in which she won 63 percent of her service points. Pavlyuchenkova still has the occasional dip in her game, but she’s proven to be a tough out when she’s dialed in and keeping the ball in play. Pavlyuchenkova just has to be more consistent with her second serve if she’s going to give herself a chance here. Pavlyuchenkova has won her last five semifinal appearances. Pavlyuchenkova hopes to make her third final appearance of the season and the 16th for her career. Pavlyuchenkova has won five of her last seven matches on hard court.

Angelique Kerber is coming off a straight sets win over Karolina Pliskova that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Kerber won 69 percent of her first serve points and 69 percent of her second serve points. Kerber is coming off the best win of her season in which she wasn’t broken once and won 69 percent of her total serve points. While this has been a rough year for Kerber, she’s won all six sets this tournament and seems to be gaining confidence with each point. After beating a top-10 player in really impressive fashion, it’s going to be interesting to see if this is the moment Kerber turns her season around. Kerber has won five of her last six semifinal appearances. Kerber hopes to make her second final appearance of the season and the 27th of her career. Kerber has split her last six matches on hard court.

These two have played nine times and Kerber has won five of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Monterrey Open, a match Pavlyuchenkova won in three sets. Kerber has won five of the last seven meetings against Pavlyuchenkova.

Pavlyuchenkova has success against Kerber and has played well enough this tournament to put up a fight in this match. However, I’m not sure how anybody bets against Kerber after what she did to Pliskova. Her defense was high quality and she gave away nothing on her serve. If that performance is repeated, Pavlyuchenkova will pretty much have to play a perfect match to advance.

I like Kerber in this match.

Pick:
Angelique Kerber

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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