Daria Kasatkina vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
|Date & Time||Thursday October 18, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Daria Kasatkina meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Kremlin Cup.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a straight sets win over Valentini Grammatikopoulou that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 57 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova won 56 percent of her total service points and converted on seven of 14 break points. Pavlyuchenkova has produced 11 breaks in her last four sets and is playing some of her most consistent tennis lately with wins in seven of her last 10 matches. If Pavlyuchenkova can improve her service game to go long with her return, she’s going to be a serious threat moving forward. You would think Pavlyuchenkova would have better service numbers considering she gets a high percentage of first serves in play. Pavlyuchenkova has won four of her last five matches on indoor hard court.
Daria Kasatkina is coming off a three sets win over Alize Cornet that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Kasatkina won 64 percent of her first serve points and 10 percent of her second serve points. Kasatkina won 51 percent of her total service points and converted on nine of her 21 break points. Kasatkina managed to win despite dropping the first set and winning just two of 21 second serve points. While advancing is the only thing that matters, Kasatkina obviously has the serve better if she has any chance of beating better competition as she gets deeper into the tournament. Kasatkina hopes to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Wimbledon. Kasatkina has won five of her last six matches on indoor hard court.
These two have split their two meetings, as Pavlyuchenkova won in Moscow in 2015 and Kasatkina won in Moscow in 2017. The first match went the distance and the second match included a second set tiebreak.
Neither one of these players are serving well, so good luck being on the right side, as there’s sure to be a lot of swings in this match. I like to avoid the emotional rollercoasters, so I won’t be betting this match personally. However, I’ll give Kasatkina the edge. Despite getting nothing on her second serve, Kasatkina still managed to win a match, which provides confidence and shows a player is capable of winning without playing her best. It's the type of stuff that can push Kasatkina to a title, as she's not capable of serving any worse than what she just did.
Kasatkina should make the semifinals.