Ekaterina Makarova vs. Anastasija Sevastova
|Date & Time||Friday August 31, 2018, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Anastasija Sevastova and Ekaterina Makarova meet in the third round of the 2018 tennis US Open.
Anastasija Sevastova is coming off a straight sets win over Claire Liu that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Sevastova won 76 percent of her first serve points and 29 percent of her second serve points. Sevastova won 65 percent of her return points and converted on seven of her 11 break points. Sevastova has to be better with her second serve in order to continue advancing, but she’s produced a combined 11 breaks in her last two matches and has given herself 19 break points overall. That’s a formula that gives the 28-year-old Sevastova a fighting chance regardless of opponent. Sevastova has a chance to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fourth time in her career. Sevastova also has a shot at three straight fourth round appearances in the US Open. Sevastova has won five of her last seven matches on hard court.
Ekaterina Makarova is coming off a straight sets win over Julia Goerges that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Makarova won 76 percent of her first serve points and 70 percent of her second serve points. Makarova got 70 percent of her first serves in play and saved all five of her break points. If that’s a sign of things to come for Makarova moving forward, she has to like her chances to make a serious grand slam run. Makarova has been consistent with her serve this tournament and all of a sudden has become a dangerous player. Makarova hopes to make her fifth grand slam fourth round appearance since 2015. Makarova has made the fourth round of the US Open three times in her career. Makarova has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played four times and Makarova has won three of those matches. The most recent macth was in this years Fed Cup, a match Sevastova won in straight sets. Three of the four matches between these players have been decided in straight sets.
Makarova is worth a look here based on how consistent she’s been with her first serve and putting constant pressure on her opponent. However, Sevastova did win the recent match against her earlier this year and has been the more consistent player overall the last couple of months. Sevastova has also flashed a deadly return and gives herself plenty of looks at break points.
In a near toss-up match, I’m giving the edge to Sevastova.