Fognini vs. Murray
|Date & Time||Friday July 7, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Andy Murray and Fabio Fognini meet in the third round of the 2017 Wimbledon.
Andy Murray is coming off a straight sets win over Dustin Brown that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Murray won 84 percent of his first serve points and 74 percent of his second serve points. Murray clearly isn’t bothered by his hip injury, as he lost just 14 service games in his second round victory and won 46 percent of his return points. Murray has dropped just 14 games in his first two matches and is fresh off a victory that took a little over an hour and a half. Murray hasn’t lost before the fourth round of a grand slam since the 2010 US Open. Murray hopes to make the fourth round of the Wimbledon for an 11th straight try. Murray has won 10 of his last 11 matches on grass court.
Fabio Fognini is coming off a straight sets win over Sergiy Stakhovsky that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Fognini won 86 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Fognini has had back-to-back effortless six sets, as he’s coming off a match that took less than two hours and he hit 60 winners. Fognini is always dangerous due to his shotmaking ability and if he’s going to hit his spots with consistency, him pulling off the upset here isn’t impossible. Fognini hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time since the 2015 US Open. Fognini has 10 career wins over top-10 players with three of them coming this season. Fognini has won six of his last nine matches on grass court.
These two have split their previous six meetings. The most recent match was in this years Rome Masters, a match Fognini won in straight sets. Two of Fognini’s three wins over Murray have come on clay. This will be the first time these two meet on grass.
Fognini is sure to give Murray a run for his money due to his ability to hit winners and the fact he’s won 50 percent of the matches against him. Fognini has been solid this year against top-10 players and won’t be intimidated in this match like he has been in the past. However, Murray simply doesn’t lose early in grand slam appearances and is playing too consistent at both ends right now. Fognini will have to play at a high level the entire match to pull this off, something he’s struggled with in the past.
I’ll take Murray, but this match should be competitive.