Carla Suarez Navarro vs. Angelique Kerber
|Date & Time||Monday October 1, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Angelique Kerber and Carla Suarez Navarro meet in the second round of the 2018 tennis China Open.
Angelique Kerber is coming off a straight sets win over Kristina Mladenovic that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Kerber won 77 percent of her first serve points and 57 percent of her second serve points. Kerber won 69 percent of her total return points and saved all three of her break points. Kerber was really impressive in her opening match, getting 60 percent of her first serves in play and limiting her unforced errors. It’s been a struggle for Kerber since winning the Wimbledon, but if that’s the player we’re going to get in this tournament, she’s a serious threat to take home the title. Kerber hopes to win two matches in a single tournament for just the second time in her last five tries. Kerber has won five of her last eight matches on hard court.
Carla Suarez Navarro is coming off a straight sets win over Yulia Putintseva that took 13 games to decide. In the victory, Navarro won 72 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Navarro won 66 percent of her total service points and converted on all six of her break points. Navarro won 75 percent of her return points and won the final 10 games of the match, easily one of her best showings in recent memory. Navarro has quietly been one of the hotter players on tour recently, as she’s now won nine of her last 12 matches and has improved her serve to go along with her always feisty and clean return. Navarro has 28 career wins over top-10 players and four of them have come this year. Navarro has won five of her last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played nine times and Kerber has won six of those matches. The most recent meeting was in Montreal in 2017, a match Kerber won in straight sets. Navarro’s last win over Kerber was in Birmingham in 2016. Kerber is 5-1 against Navarro on hard court.
Navarro is worth a look here as a live underdog, but I’m not going to bite. Kerber has not only owned Navarro over the years, especially on hard court, but she’s coming off a solid serving performance and has the rest advantage. On hard court, Kerber is able to be the aggressor and really make Navarro work for every point, as she does a ton of running. Kerber cruises likely in straight sets as long as she doesn’t turn into an unforced error machine.
I like Kerber to get another win over Navarro.