Kasatkina vs. Kerber
|Date & Time||Thursday March 15, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
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Angelique Kerber and Daria Kasatkina meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 Indian Wells Masters.
Angelique Kerber is coming off a straight sets win over Caroline Garcia that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Kerber won 82 percent of her first serve points and 40 percent of her second serve points. Kerber has won her last six sets and is coming off such a dominating performance that includes winning 60 percent of her return points and getting 77 percent of her first serves in play. Kerber is clearly showing sings of returning to the player she was in 2016, and if her last match is an indication of things to come, this is going to be another impressive year for the German. Still, there are improvements Kerber can make, as she’s had issues with her second serve and has had 13 double faults in this tournament. Kerber has won six of her last seven matches on hard court.
Daria Kasatkina is coming off a straight sets win over Caroline Wozniacki that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Kasatkina won 54 percent of her first serve points and 74 percent of her second serve points. Kasatkina continues what has been an impressive start to the 2018 season and has been the surprise of this tournament. Kasatkina not only beat Wozniacki rather easily, but she has wins over respectable players in Katerina Siniakova and Sloane Stephens. This could be breakthrough event for the 20-year-old Russian, especially if she can find a way to win this match. Kasatkina has won no less than 47 percent of her return points in her first three matches, something that’s key to a victory here. Kasatkina has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have split their previous four matches. The most recent match was in Tokyo of last year, a match Kerber won in straight sets. All four matches took place on hard court and three of the four matches have been decided in straight sets.
Kasatkina is worth a look her based on her form and the success she’s had against Kerber in the past. However, both of Kasatkina’s wins against Kerber came last year when nearly everybody on tour was upsetting her. Kerber in this form is one of the top players in the world and rarely loses big matches. The pace Kerber is hitting the ball with is sure to give Kasatkina problems, and the German usually has her way when she can dictate points.
Kasatkina is a player to keep an eye on this season, but for this match, Kerber should edge it out.