Angelique Kerber vs. Karolina Pliskova 6/29/19 Eastbourne Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Angelique Kerber vs. Karolina Pliskova
Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 6:30 AM (Devonshire Park Lawn Tennis Club)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Angelique Kerber and Karolina Pliskova meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Eastbourne International.
Angelique Kerber is coming off a victory over Ons Jabeur via walkthrough due to her opponent being forced to withdraw due to an ankle injury. Kerber now has a major rest advantage in this match, especially considering she’s won all six sets and all of her matches have taken under an hour and a half. Kerber is coming off a match where she dominated the return against Simona Halep and now has two wins this year over top-10 players. Kerber looks to win her first title since last years Wimbledon and the 13th title of her career. Kerber is 2-3 in final appearances on grass court and has split her last 16 final appearances overall. Kerber has won seven of her last eight matches on grass court.
Karolina Pliskova is coming off a straight sets win over Kiki Bertens that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 91 percent of her first serve points and 61 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 76 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her seven break points. Pliskova got just 49 percent of her first serves in play and still didn’t face a break point. Pliskova has won all eight sets this tournament and hasn’t faced a single break point in her last four sets. Pliskova hopes to win her third title of the year and the 14th title of her career. Pliskova is 2-2 in final appearances on grass and has won seven of her last nine final appearances overall. Pliskova has won five of her last six matches on grass court.
These two have played 11 times and Kerber has won seven of those matches, including the only grass court match in 2015 Birmingham. However, Pliskova won the most recent match in last years Fed Cup. Eight of the 11 matches have been decided in straight sets.
Kerber obviously owns the head to head and had the luxury of not having to play yesterday. The problem is the rest isn’t that big of a deal when you consider how quickly Pliskova’s matches have been and the fact she hasn’t faced any stressful games. Pliskova has been a saving machine this tournament and that’s without hitting a lot of aces. Kerber can sometimes struggle with her energy and consistency, and I don’t think it’s a coincidence she’s been hit or miss in finals as of late.
I like Pliskova to win her third title of the year.