Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ashleigh Barty
|Date & Time||Friday September 28, 2018, 6:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Ashleigh Barty and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Wuhan Open.
Ashleigh Barty is coming off a three sets win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Barty won 79 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Barty won 66 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her eight break points. Barty has now won 16 of her last 23 sets and is easily playing some of the most consistent tennis of her life. Barty has made consistent deep tournament runs over the last couple of months and has her return working at a high level, which includes 14 breaks in her last three matches. Right now, Barty is showing the player she’s capable of being long term, and it makes her a contender to win her second title of the year. Barty has a chance to win five matches in a single tournament for the first time since winning the title in Nottingham. Barty has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.
Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight sets win over Dominika Cibulkova that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 76 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 63 percent of her total service points and produced five breaks on 10 break points. Sabalenka has won now each of her last five sets and is coming off a performance in which she got 62 percent of her first serves in play. If Sabalenka can keep that percentage up, she has a chance to win her second title in her last four tournament appearances. Sabalenka has now won at least four matches in a single tournament for the third time in her last five tries. Sabalenka has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in this years Australian Open, a match Barty won in three sets. The match took 33 games to be decided.
Both of these players are playing quality tennis, so you can make a case for either player, but I’m siding with Sabalenka. She’s been the slightly more consistent player the last couple of months and has been much more consistent with her first serve. In a battle between two players who are finding ways to win, I want the player who I can trust more with the serve and who will come through in the pressure situations.
Sabalenka prevails in possibly three sets.