Ashleigh Barty vs. Daria Gavrilova
|Date & Time||Tuesday May 21, 2019, 5:00 AM (EDT)|
Tennis Club de Strasbourg
The Line: Barty -518 / Gavrilova +437 -- Over/Under:
Ashleigh Barty and Daria Gavrilova meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Internationaux de Strasbourg.
Ashleigh Barty is coming off a quick exit in Rome after being broken four times and having serious issues with her return. It’s likely just a hiccup out of nowhere when you consider that Barty has won 12 of her last 14 matches overall when you include the Fed Cup. If anything, the early exit gave Barty a few extra days of rest for this tournament and the upcoming French Open. With the way Barty has played this season and her aggressiveness to go for her shots more, she’s certainly somebody who can make a deep run in the grand slam. Of course, Barty can start things off nicely with a confidence boosting victory here. Barty has won four of her last six matches on clay court.
Daria Gavrilova enters this tournament on a five-match losing streak if you include her match where she failed to qualify for Rome. Gavrilova hasn’t won a match since the second round of Indian Wells, so it’s been over two months since she’s put together a winning effort. Gavrilova has had trouble getting her first serve in play most of the time and that has resulted in her getting nothing on her second serve. With double faults piling up and break points constantly in her face, Gavrilova could badly use a victory here over a quality opponent to et her spirits up. Gavrilova has 11 career wins over top-10 players, and two of those wins came last year. Gavrilova has lost her last four matches on clay court.
These two have played four times and Barty has won three of those meetings, including the most recent match this year in Madrid. Gavrilova’s only win over Barty came in 2017 Strasbourg. Two of the four matches have gone the distance.
These two literally played two weeks ago and Barty won the match in 15 games and just over an hour. Gavrilova won just 35 percent of her first serve points and 41 percent of her total serve points, while Barty broke six times and won 10 of the final 12 games. Gavrilova is better than what she’s shown lately, but that doesn’t mean things will click against Barty, who is enjoying some of her best and most consistent tennis lately.
To avoid a steep price, I’ll take Barty in straight sets.