Australian Open: Prediction, Odds, Pick
|Date & Time||Monday January 16, 2017, 9:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
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The 2017 tennis season is just days away from taking place and of course the ATP Australian Open is not far behind that. With less than a month from the first grand slam, it’s probably a good idea to start looking at some of the future odds in hopes of earning a big payday. If you’re a stranger to these articles, it’s important to know I go for some of the longshots to either secure a possible monster payout due to my money being tied up so long, or I like providing hedging room to guarantee a profit later in the tournament.
It’s all about the value.
Either way, here are some players to consider for the 2017 ATP Australian Open.
Novak Djokovic - Forget longshots for a second, we’re getting Novak Djokovic with odds of +180. That sounds like great value and an easy chance to make 1.8 times my money. Djokovic has won five of the last six Australian Open’s and has made at least the quarterfinals every year since 2008. We know Djokovic struggled down the stretch, had a hard time dealing with the hiccups, parted ways with coach Boris Becker and has been bothered by nagging injuries. However, time off can do wonders and there’s still not another player in the field who rises to the occasion like Djokovic. While the odds are small, you’re still getting Djokovic at plus money. That won’t be the case later in the tournament.
Tomas Berdych - Looking for a guaranteed profit, Tomas Berdych with odds of +8000 is your guy. Berdych has made at least the quarterfinals in each of his last six Australian Open appearances, which includes semifinal spots in 2014 and 2015. This tournament is the most consistent major for Berdych and he’s won 74.5 percent of his matches overall. Sure, Berdych isn’t a serious threat to win the tournament at 31 years old due to his struggles against the Big Four throughout his career. However, those odds provide a ton of breathing room once Berdych gets into the later rounds.
Nick Kyrgios - Nick Kyrgios finished 2016 in horrible fashion after tanking matches, being fined by the ATP, suspended and being forced to enter a therapy program. Kyrgios is often criticized for his lack of passion for the sport and his carefree attitude. And while for good reason, Kyrgios is still a top-15 player in the world and did win three titles last season, including the Japan Open back in October. Kyrgios also had six wins over top-10 players. When he wants to be, Kyrgios is capable of beating anybody on any given day. Given that he is Australian, this could be one of those times we see a motivated Kyrgios. I’ll take a stab with the 21-year-old and ods of +2000.
Andy Murray - Kind of like betting Djokovic with his odds, there’s no reason to turn down Andy Murray and odds of +160. Murray is currently the top player in the world and is fresh off his best season yet in which he won nine titles, beat 16 top-10 players and is currently riding a 25-match winning streak. Murray is simply out of this world and has shown no signs no slowing down. Maybe the time off will be enough to get Murray out of his zone a bit. I’m not betting on it. Murray and chances to make 1.6 times your money is a bet you should jump on now because it won’t be there later in the tournament.
Gael Monfils - We made a ton of money on Gael Monfils last season and I’m looking to back him early this year. Monfils showed just how effective he can be when he’s focused on winning matches rather than pleasing the crowd, and he managed to win a lot of matches when dropping the first set, something he lacked the discipline to do in the past. Monfils also made the quarterfinals of the Australian Open last year for the first time and did win his biggest title in July in the Washington Open. If Monfils will be the same player he was last year, he’s going to be a force and a consistent threat for titles and grand slams. Odds of +10000 with Monfils is great overall value and also provides hedging room later in the tournament.