Benoit Paire vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
|Date & Time||Saturday May 25, 2019, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Paire -102 / Aliassime -112 -- Over/Under:
Benoit Paire and Felix Auger-Aliassime meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Lyon Open.
Benoit Paire is coming off a straight sets win over Taylor Fritz that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Paire won 97 percent of his first serve points and 29 percent of his second serve points. Paire won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his seven break points. Paire lost just one of 34 first serve points and saved both of his break points. Paire has been broken just once in his last five sets and with him coming off a double-digit ace performance, this is the best the Frenchman has looked in quite some time. Paire looks to win his second title of the year and his third title of his career. Paire is 2-4 in career final appearances and 2-1 in final appearances on clay. Paire has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is coming off a three sets win over Nikoloz Basilashvili that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Auger-Aliassime won 83 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Auger-Aliassime won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on one of his four break points. Auger-Aliassime really showed his mental toughness in that victory after dropping the first set in eight games and having to win a second set tiebreak. We’re seeing Auger-Aliassime grow rather quickly, as he doesn’t let a poor set get him down, and he’s able to dig deep and find a way to win. At just 18 years old, you don’t see this sort of mental toughness from players this young often. Auger-Aliassime looks to win his first career singles title, and this is his only other final appearance outside of the Rio Open this year. Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last six matches on clay court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Auger-Aliassime is probably the better player in this match and is certainly somebody I’m not trying to step in front of at the moment. However, Paire is coming off a serving clinic and didn’t have to work as hard in his semifinal match. Paire is also far more experienced in matches like this and will have the home crowd behind him, which always helps. It’s the little things that can determine the outcome of a final, and there’s some key things going against Auger-Aliassime, who had to dig deep in his last match and could be running a little low on fuel at this point.
I give Paire the slight edge to win the title.