Roger Federer vs. Borna Coric
|Date & Time||Saturday October 13, 2018, 7:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Borna Coric and Roger Federer meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Shanghai Masters.
Borna Coric is coming off a straight sets win over Matthew Ebden that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Coric won 64 percent of his first serve points and 70 percent of his second serve points. Coric won 66 percent of his total service points and produced four breaks on eight break points. Coric has won each of his last seven sets and has won no less than 37 percent of his return points in each of his last three matches. Coric is easily playing some of the best tennis we’ve seen from him this year and has a shot at his breakthrough moment. Coric looks to make his second final appearance of the year and his fifth final appearance of his career. Coric has a chance to make a final appearance in a ATP World Tour Masters 1000 for the first time of his career. Coric has won seven of his last 10 matches on hard court.
Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Kei Nishikori that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 65 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Federer won 62 percent of his total service points and produced three breaks on eight break points. Federer continues to be a little sluggish in his play, especially with his second serve, but he continues to find that second gear when needed and pulls away from his opponent whenever there’s an opening. Federer doesn’t have to play his absolute best to win these matches, and that’s scary. Federer hopes to make his seventh final appearance of the year and his 151st final appearance of his career. Federer has a chance to make the final of the Shanghai Masters for the sixth time in his last 10 appearances. Federer has won 10 of his last 12 matches on hard court.
These two have played three times and Federer has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was in Halle of this year, a match Coric won in three sets. Federer won both meetings against Coric on hard court. Federer is 5-3 against Coric in sets played.
We’ve made some money on Coric this tournament and he has some surprising success against Federer in a short sample size. However, Federer has beaten Coric in both meetings on hard court and his ability to use the whole court on this faster surface will have him running much more than he’d like. Federer also has had a ton of success in this tournament and has won five of his last seven Shanghai Masters semifinal appearances. It’s also worth noting that Federer has gotten better in each of his three matches at this tournament.
Federer makes his seventh final of the year.