Svitolina vs. Garcia
|Date & Time||Wednesday October 25, 2017, 10:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Svitolina -125 / Garcia -105 -- Over/Under:
Caroline Garcia and Elina Svitolina meet in the 2017 WTA Finals.
Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight sets loss to Simona Halep that took 18 games to decide. In the loss, Garcia won 58 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Garcia came into this tournament on fire after winning the Wuhan and China Open, but she really struggled with her serve and return in her first ever WTA Finals match. Maybe the big stage got to her or she was fatigue after such a lengthy Asian Tour, but it wasn’t the same Garcia we’ve seen the past month. Garcia has been ridiculous with her return in her last several matches, giving herself tons of break chances, and she has to get back to that if she hopes to make this a lengthy appearance. Garcia won just 34 percent of her return points in her loss. Garcia has won 11 of her last 12 matches on hard court.
Elina Svitolina is coming off a straight sets loss to Caroline Wozniacki that took 14 games to decide. In the loss, Svitolina won 52 percent of her first serve points and nine percent of her second serve points. Svitolina also struggled mightily in her opening match, which included winning just one of 11 second serve points and getting broken five times. Maybe you could make a case for nerves, but this is somebody who has 10 wins this season over top-10 players, so I’m pretty sure that’s not it. Remember that Svitolina did withdraw in Hong Kong due to a right leg injury, so it’s likely that she’s not 100 percent for this tournament. Either way, Svitolina has to get going if her first WTA Finals appearance will be a memorable one. Svitolina has split her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have split their two past meetings. Svitolina won the match in the 2015 Cincinnati Masters, and Garcia won this years match in the China Open. The last match included three sets and two tiebreakers.
I’m not sure how anybody can back Svitolina in this match given how she played against Wozniacki. That wasn’t the Svitolina who has had a breakout season, and she’s clearly not 100 percent for whatever reason. Garcia should be a little more comfortable with a match under her belt and has had a truckload of success on hard court recently. I’ll take the healthier player in this spot.
Give me Garcia.