Bertens vs. Garcia
|Date & Time||Friday May 11, 2018, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Caroline Garcia and Kiki Bertens meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Madrid Masters.
Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight sets win over Carla Suarez Navarro that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 76 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Garcia was broken just once in her quarterfinal victory and managed to win 50 percent of her return points, giving herself 11 break chances. Garcia has managed to win each of her last eight sets and hasn’t really had to work that hard to get to this point. Garcia is often an overlooked player in the field, but she’s been rather consistent on clay recently and has a shot at a breakthrough performance. Garcia has lost five of her last seven semifinal appearances. Garcia has a chance to make her first final appearance since last years China Open and her third final appearance on clay. Garcia has a chance to make her second career final appearance in a Premier Mandatory. Garcia has won eight of her last 10 matches on clay court.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Maria Sharapova that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 70 percent of her first serve points and 33 percent of her second serve points. Bertens bounced back after losing the first set, and she ended up breaking her opponent eight times while winning 49 percent of her return points. Bertens needs to clean up the double faults and be better with her second serve, but she continues to find ways to win regardless, and it’s been a while since she’s lost a match on outdoor clay court. Bertens has now won 20 of her last 24 sets played. Bertens has won four of her last six semifinal appearances. Bertens has a chance to make her second final appearance of the year and her seventh final appearance on clay. Bertens has a chance to make her first career final appearance in a Premier Mandatory. Bertens has won 10 straight matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Bertens has won all three meetings. The most recent match was in the 2016 France vs. Netherlands, a match Bertens won in straight sets. Garcia has never won a set against Bertens.
Garcia is very underrated and more than capable of winning this match, but Bertens has been on another level on clay and just showed her heart in her last match. She’s clicking all on cylinders and the confidence is high.
I can’t bet against Bertens in this match.