Pavlyuchenkova vs. Wozniacki
|Date & Time||Sunday September 24, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
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Caroline Wozniacki and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova meet in the final of the 2017 Toray Pan Pacific Open.
Caroline Wozniacki is coming off a straight sets win over Garbine Muguruza that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Wozniacki won 75 percent of her first serve points and 42 percent of her second serve points. Give Wozniacki all of the credit in the world for getting such a dominating victory, but one has to question if Muguruza was healthy in that semifinal match, as you rarely see her win just two games. Either way, Wozniacki won 66 percent of her return points and now has back-to-back top-10 victories under her belt. It’s going to be interesting if we can get this consistent Wozniacki for long stretches, as this form has come and gone the deeper she gets in tournaments. Wozniacki hopes to win her first title of the season and her 26th for her career. Wozniacki is 20-16 in her career in final appearances on hard court. Wozniacki has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a three sets win over Angelique Kerber that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 71 percent of her first serve points and 33 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova proved in the semifinal match that her play is no joke, as she won the opening set 6-0 and won 49 percent of her return points. Pavlyuchenkova is keeping the ball in play, winning a high percentage of her first serve points and simply playing overall clean tennis. Pavlyuchenkova now has four wins over top-10 players this year, which is the most for her in one season since 2014, and the confidence is high for the 26-year-old. Pavlyuchenkova hopes to win her third title of the season and her 11th for her career. Pavlyuchenkova is 8-5 in her career in final appearances on hard court. Pavlyuchenkova has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played six times and Wozniacki has won five of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2012 Cincinnati Masters, a match Pavlyuchenkova won in straight sets.
The head to head doesn’t mean much here with five years between meeting. You also have to give Pavlyuchenkova a shot given how she just dominated Kerber and with Wozniacki losing her last six final appearances. Wozniacki has developed quite a habit of joking under the bright lights recently. However, Wozniacki is still the better player here and is coming off two of her best wins of the season, beating back-to-back top-10 players. Maybe this is the tournament to get her on track.
I like Wozniacki to win this tournament.