Ostapenko vs. Wozniacki
|Date & Time||Tuesday June 6, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Ostapenko +120 / Wozniacki -140 -- Over/Under:
Caroline Wozniacki and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the quarterfinals of the 2017 French Open.
Caroline Wozniacki is coming off a three set win over Svetlana Kuznetsova that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Wozniacki won 66 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Wozniacki has played 11 sets to get to this point and has played many comfortable matches for the most part despite falling apart in the second set three times. Wozniacki has won no less than 43 percent of her return points and has broken her opponents a combined 22 times. As long as Wozniacki can be more consistent with her serve, she'll have a chance to win her first ever grand slam title. Wozniacki hopes to make her seventh career grand slam semifinal and first ever in the French Open. Wozniacki has won five of her last seven matches on clay court.
Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a three set win over Samantha Stosur that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 67 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko has come back twice in this tournament after dropping the first set and has won 45 percent or better of her return points in three of her four matches. Ostapenko came into this tournament with almost zero grand slam success, but the 19-year-old has beaten three straight top-50 players and is fresh off a match in which she hit 46 winners. Ostapenko is going for her shots, and it's worked up to this point. Ostapenko hopes to make her first ever grand slam semifinal appearance. Ostapenko has won 10 of her last 12 matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Ostapenko has won every match. The most recent was in this years Prague Open, a match Ostapenko won in three sets. This will be the third meeting on clay.
The value is with Ostapenko and the plus money given how she's played up to this point and the fact she's beaten Wozniacki in all three meetings, twice on clay. You could argue Ostapenko should be the favorite. However, Wozniacki has played solid in her own right and has to feel this is a terrific chance to win her first grand slam even though clay isn't her favorite surface. No Kerber, Serena or Muguruza. The field has opened up for a player like Wozniacki, and I expect her to take advantage of the opportunity.
This match could go either way, but I give the edge to Wozniacki.