Pliskova vs. Wozniacki
|Date & Time||Thursday March 30, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Caroline Wozniacki and Karolina Pliskova meet Thursday in the semifinals in the 2017 Miami Open.
Caroline Wozniacki is coming off a straight sets win over Lucie Safarova that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Wozniacki won 73 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Wozniacki has had a really light load to get to this point thanks to quick matches and a retirement from Garbine Muguruza in the fourth round. Wozniacki is looking more and more like the Wozniacki of old with her consistent and solid defense, and I think it’s safe to say she’s back at this point. Wozniacki has a shot to get her fourth win over a top-10 player already this season. Wozniacki has won her last four semifinals appearances. Wozniacki has won 12 of her last 14 matches on hard court.
Karolina Pliskova is coming off a straight sets win over Mirjana Lucic-Baroni that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 64 percent of her first serve points and 26 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova has dropped just 12 games in her last two matches and her last seven victories have been decided in straight sets. Pliskova has been very sharp on her return this tournament, but she’s coming off a match in which she struggled mightily with her second serve, something that won’t fly against this opponent. Pliskova has won six of her last seven semifinals appearances. Pliskova has won eight of her last nine matches on hard court.
These two have played four times in the past and Wozniacki has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Qatar Ladies Open, a match Pliskova won in straight sets. Three of the four matches between these two players went three sets.
Pliskova isn’t serving like her usual self and the free points aren’t there as often, which is concerning when that’s a big part of her game. Wozniacki has been arguably the most consistent player on tour the last few weeks and she has to have her eye on becoming a top-eight player sooner rather than later. She’s hitting her spots, really sharp defensively and comes up with big serves when needed. It’s just tough to bet against her in her current form.
I like Wozniacki to make her third final of the season.