Danielle Collins vs. Caroline Garcia
|Date & Time||Thursday January 17, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Danielle Collins and Caroline Garcia meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Danielle Collins is coming off a straight sets win over Sachia Vickery that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Collins won 73 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Collins won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her six break points. Collins is building on her breakthrough 2018 with her first two grand slam victories, and she’s hit a combined 66 winners in her first two matches. Collins has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since San Jose. Collins can make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time in her career. Collins has split her last eight matches on hard court.
Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight sets win over Zoe Hives that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 76 percent of her first serve points and 46 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 68 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her eight break points. Garcia has played a little over two hours to get to this point and played a much cleaner match in her second effort, a showing that included just 14 unforced errors. Garcia is a much more effective and dangerous player when she’s not committing frustrating errors. Garcia hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fifth time in her last eight appearances. Garcia has won nine of her last 12 matches on hard court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
Collins is the hot up and coming player who could have the edge in this match with her ability to finish points and spray winners. I’m still giving Garcia the edge based on her experience in grand slam play and her recent success on hard courts. We’re seeing a slightly more aggressive Garcia and she’s truly one of the more underrated players on tour when she’s dictating the pace and not being passive. Garcia should also tap into her net skills a bit more this match to put even more pressure on the American.
This is likely going to be a tight match that could see three sets, but I like the safe option of backing Garcia.