Dominic Thiem vs. Daniil Medvedev
|Date & Time||Friday September 21, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Daniil Medvedev and Dominic Thiem meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis St. Petersburg Open.
Daniil Medvedev is coming off a straight sets win over Mikhail Kukushkin that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Medvedev won 78 percent of his first serve points and 44 percent of his second serve points. Medvedev won 65 percent of his total service points and saved four of his five break points. Medvedev has been highly impressive with his first serve as of late and has been broken just twice on 11 break points in his last four sets. As long as Medvedev can continue to get so many free points with his serve, he has to like his chances to continue this impressive winning stretch into a possible final appearance. Medvedev has won 11 of his last 13 matches overall, making him easily one of the hotter players in the world at the moment. Medvedev has won six of his last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 80 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 66 percent of his total service points and saved three of his four break points. Thiem hit 10 aces and lost just eight of 40 first serve points, as he’s clearly playing with more of a pep in his step as of late. Thiem has now won seven of his last eight matches and 22 of his last 29 sets. Thiem is serving at a much more consistent level we’ve ever seen from him, and he’s been able to do just enough with the return as well. At 25 years old, we’re quickly seeing Thiem turn the corner and emerge as one of the top players in the world, which should be exciting for tennis fans. Thiem has split his last eight matches on indoor hard court.
This will be the first ever meeting between these two players.
Medvedev has won 11 of his last 13 matches and is serving well enough to pull off the upset. The problem is Thiem has more balance to his game and should be able to have success with the return. Thiem is quickly taking his game to another level and that match against Nadal in the US Open appears to have helped that growth. Thiem has won eight of his last nine sets since that crushing loss and his serve has been extremely sharp.
I’m not betting against Thiem right now, and you shouldn’t either.