Marin Cilic vs. David Goffin
|Date & Time||Monday September 3, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
David Goffin and Marin Cilic meet in the fourth round of the 2018 tennis US Open.
David Goffin is coming off a straight sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Goffin won 71 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Goffin won 66 percent of his total service points and converted on seven of his 16 break points. Goffin has now won six of his seven sets this tournament and has produced a combined 19 breaks during that span. Goffin had his struggles on clay and grass, but he’s clearly found his form on hard court and is playing some of his best tennis of the season. As long as Goffin continues to return at such a high level, he gives himself a shot to make a rare deep run in a grand slam. Goffin has a chance to make his third career grand slam quarterfinal and first ever in the US Open. Goffin is 2-6 in his career in grand slam fourth round matches. Goffin has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.
Marin Cilic is coming off a five sets win over Alex De Minaur that took 50 games to decide. In the victory, Cilic won 73 percent of his first serve points and 39 percent of his second serve points. Cilic won 60 percent of his total service points and produced 59 winners to go along with 59 unforced errors. Cilic had to earn his victory, as he came back from being down two sets and played a little over four hours. While his previous two matches were walks in the park, it’s going to be interesting to see just how much Cilic has left in the tank, as that match took a toll on him physically and emotionally. Five set matches aren’t easy, especially when you have to climb out of an 0-2 hole and the whole building is rooting for the underdog. This match will certainly test Cilic’s conditioning. Cilic hopes to make his fifth grand slam quarterfinal in his last seven tries and his fifth career US Open quarterfinal. Cilic has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played five times and Goffin has won three of those matches. The most recent meeting was in the 2017 Rome Masters, a match Cilic won in straight sets. Goffin’s last win over Cilic came in 2016 in Tokyo. Each of the last four meetings between Goffin and Cilic have been decided in straight sets.
Goffin has really played well on hard court this season and is returning at an extremely high level. You also have to like that Goffin has success against Cilic and actually has the head to head advantage despite Cilic winning the last two matches. I’m just not sure what to expect from Cilic after a marathon five setter, as one day off in-between simply isn’t enough to completely recover. If this match goes more than three sets, we’re sure to see tired legs and lingering fatigue from his previous match.
I’m going to side with Goffin to prevail here.