Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Denis Shapovalov
|Date & Time||Thursday October 4, 2018, 10:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Denis Shapovalov and Jan-Lennard Struff meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Japan Open.
Denis Shapovalov is coming off a three sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Shapovalov won 80 percent of his first serve points and 47 percent of his second serve points. Shapovalov won 68 percent of his total service points and produced three breaks on nine break points. Shapovalov managed to comeback after dropping a set and won as a +129 underdog, and he’s now won 10 of his last 14 matches. With the way Shapovalov has been serving recently, any consistent success he can get on his return makes him a very dangerous player and somebody who could push for a final appearance. Unfortunately, Shapovalov hasn’t won three matches in a single tournament since Madrid. Shapovalov has won four of his last five matches on indoor hard court.
Jan-Lennard Struff is coming off a three sets win over Jeremy Chardy that took 36 games to decide. In the victory, Struff won 84 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Struff won 74 percent of his total service points and saved all three of his break points. It was an overall impressive serving performance from Struff that saw two tiebreaks, and he hit 17 aces while getting 62 percent of his first serves in play. Struff has now won back-to-back marathon three set matches, and while his serve is clearly on point, you have to ask how much he has left in the tank at this point. Struff has a chance to win three matches in a single main tournament for the first time since St. Petersburg last year. Struff has split his last six matches on indoor hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Both players are serving at a high level, so one blink and somebody could be going home. I have to give the edge to Shapovalov, as he has a big rest advantage and has been slightly sharper with his return. Struff has yet to make a deep run this year on the main tour, as he’s been bounced one or two matches in every tournament he’s played up to this point.
This is a chance for Shapovalov to get close to a big final appearance.