Denis Shapovalov vs. Novak Djokovic - 01/18/19 ATP Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Denis Shapovalov vs. Novak Djokovic
Friday, January 18, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Melbourne Park)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Denis Shapovalov and Novak Djokovic meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Denis Shapovalov is coming off a straight sets win over Taro Daniel that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Shapovalov won 84 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Shapovalov won 74 percent of his total service points and hit 43 winners in a performance that took just over two hours. Shapovalov has yet to drop a set this tournament and hopes to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Tokyo of last year. As long as Shapovalov is spraying winners like he has been, he’s got a shot to continue marching on. Shapovalov has a chance to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the second time in his career. Shapovalov has split his last six matches on hard court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 74 percent of his first serve points and 69 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his nine break points. Djokovic did look a little sluggish in his performance and had 24 unforced errors, so there’s certainly room to improve. Still, the fact Djokovic can calmly cruise in straight sets against a quality player without playing his best has to strike fear in the rest of the field. Djokovic has been bounced before the fourth round of a grand slam twice since 2010. Djokovic looks for his seventh straight grand slam fourth round appearance. Djokovic has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
Shapovalov has played fine in his first two matches, but he’s still a young player who hasn’t shown he’s capable of finding that second gear needed to beat a top tier player on this stage. Shapovalov is still shaky with his second serve at times and can pile up the unforced errors in crucial times. The openings in matches that Shapovalov provides is where players like Djokovic sink their teeth into the match and cruise to victory. At just 19 years old, Shapovalov will have his time to win a match like this against an elite player, but it’s not now.
Djokovic wins this match in straight sets.