Denis Shapovalov vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
|Date & Time||Tuesday March 26, 2019, 6:00 PM (EDT)|
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, Florida
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Denis Shapovalov and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Miami Open.
Denis Shapovalov is coming off a straight sets win over Andrey Rublev that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Shapovalov won 72 percent of her first serve points and 62 percent of her second serve points. Shapovalov won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his last 12 break points. Shapovalov has been much more consistent with his serve this tournament, as he’s been broken just twice in his last five sets, and he’s cleaned up some of the silly unforced errors. It’s not always pretty with Shapovalov, but he’s become a sneaky good player on the big stage as of late and has now reached the fourth round of the Miami Open in both of his appearances. Shapovalov looks to make the quarterfinals of a Masters 1000 for the third time in his career. Shapovalov has won four of his last five matches on outdoor hard court.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a straight sets win over Leonardo Mayer that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 78 percent of her first serve points and 58 percent of her second serve points. Tsitsipas won 72 percent of his total service points and didn’t face a single break point in the victory. Tsitsipas has won all four sets this tournament and has been broken just once. While some hiccups here and there, Tsitsipas is starting to find that groove that he finished 2018 with as one of the hottest players on the men’s side. Tsitsipas hopes to make a quarterfinal of a Masters 1000 for the second time in his career. Tsitsipas has won six of his last eight matches on outdoor hard court.
These two have played four times and Shapovalov has won three of those matches. The most recent match was in Monte Carlo of 2018, a meeting Tsitsipas won in straight sets. Shapovalov won the only meeting on hard court and three of the four matches were decided in straight sets.
Shapovalov clearly has a h2h advantage, but it’s Tsitsipas who has become the better player over these last 12 months. Tsitsipas has taken his game to a new level as of late and has become much more consistent with his serve and the way he controls his nerves. While super talented and a young player on the rise in his own right, Shapovalov can still be too sloppy with the unforced errors and watch games get away from him rather quickly.
Tsitsipas is the easier player to trust. I expect him to advance to the quarterfinals.