Diego Schwartzman vs. Kei Nishikori 5/17/19 Italian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Diego Schwartzman vs. Kei Nishikori
Friday, May 17, 2019 at 6:30 AM (Foro Italico)
The Line: Nishikori -162 / Schwartzman +148 -- Over/Under: 22
Diego Schwartzman and Kei Nishikori meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis Italian Open.
Diego Schwartzman is coming off a straight sets win over Matteo Berrettini that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Schwartzman won 70 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Schwartzman won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his six break points. Schwartzman has won all six sets this tournament and is coming off a match where he got 69 percent of his first serves in play and saved four of his five break points. If Schwartzman is going to serve like this moving forward, he’s not somebody you can look past for an even deeper run. Schwartzman looks to win four straight matches for the firs time since last years French Open. Schwartzman has won five of his last seven matches on clay court.
Kei Nishikori is coming off a three sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Nishikori won 67 percent of his first serve points and 41 percent of his second serve points. Nishikori won 56 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his seven break points. Nishikori cruised after dropping the first set and dominated his return, which included winning all of the big pressure points. Nishikori can improve his serve, but if his return is going to be that consistent, he’s capable of giving anybody in the remaining field a run for their money. Nishikori hopes to win three matches in a tournament for the second time in his last three tires. Nishikori has won six of his last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Nishikori won all three meetings, including the most recent match in the 2018 US Open. Two of the three matches were played on clay in 2017. All three matches were decided in three or four sets.
Schwartzman has a chance here given that he’s probably more comfortable on clay and he’s coming off a match where he served extremely well. However, Nishikori won all three matches against Schwartzman and is the better mover, which is probably the difference in this match. Schwartzman will have to win a ton of long rallies and do a lot of running to win this match.
Nishikori makes the semifinals.