Diego Schwartzman vs. Tomas Berdych - 01/17/19 ATP Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Diego Schwartzman vs. Tomas Berdych
Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Melbourne Park)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Diego Schwartzman and Tomas Berdych meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Diego Schwartzman is coming off a five sets win over Denis Kudla that took 52 games to decide. In the victory, Schwartzman won 63 percent of his first serve points and 72 percent of his second serve points. Schwartzman won 65 percent of his total service points and produced nine breaks on 18 break points. Schwartzman has played nine sets to get to this point and is coming off a nearly four hour match, so it’s going to be interesting to see how much he has left in the tank. Schwartzman hasn’t won three matches in a single tournament since last years French Open. Schwartzman hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fourth time in his career. Schwartzman has won four of his last five matches on hard court.
Tomas Berdych is coming off a straight sets win over Robin Haase that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Berdych won 88 percent of his first serve points and 74 percent of his second serve points. Berdych won 73 percent of his total service points and didn’t face a single break point in a victory that took less than an hour and a half. Berdych has faced just one break point in his first six sets, and when you add his four wins in Doha, the 33-year-old seems to be in great form to start the 2019 year. Berdych hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the 11th time in his last 15 tries. Berdych has lost before the fourth round of the Australian Open once since 2011. Berdych has matches on hard court.
There’s no previous matches between these two players.
As if Berdych wouldn’t be the favorite to win this match on even terms, he’s played less tennis in his first two matches combined than Schwartzman played in his last marathon five setter. Grand slam play can often be a battle of conditioning on the mens side, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see some tired legs from Schwartzman at some point. Even with a day off, it's not easy to rebound from a five set match and then get ready for another three, four set match. We see guys fold all the time under these circumstances. Berdych is also in great form, which included a final run in Doha, so he’s tough to bet against regardless.
Berdych reaches another grand slam fourth round.