Dominic Thiem vs. Alexander Bublik
|Date & Time||Thursday May 30, 2019, 5:00 AM (EDT)|
Roland Garros Stadium
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Alexander Bublik meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis French Open.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a four sets win over Tommy Paul that took 41 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 77 percent of his first serve points and 70 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 75 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his six break points. Thiem had to work harder than expected to advance to the next round, but it brought out consistent serving and ridiculous shotmaking, things he can carry over to the next match. If Thiem is going to hit the ball the way he did in those final two sets, he’s going to give himself a real shot of winning this tournament. Thiem hopes to make the third round of a grand slam for the ninth time in his last 11 tries. Thiem has won nine of his last 11 matches on clay court.
Alexander Bublik is coming off a four sets win over Rudolf Molleker that took 45 games to decide. In the victory, Bublik won 82 percent of his first serve points and 55 percent of his second serve points. Bublik won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his 18 break points. Bublik got 58 percent of his first serves in play and hit 30 aces in a win that took over two and a half hours. Bublik hit 69 winners overall and saved five of his eight break points. Bublik obviously needs to be sharper with his second serve, but his power serve and raw shotmaking skills give him a chance to be effective in this match. Bublik hopes to make the third round of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Bublik has lost two of his last three matches on clay court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
Bublik can make this match competitive with the amount of free points he can get off his serve, but Thiem just faced a player like that in Paul and was able to find a second gear and grind out the victory. It’s a question of what happens with Thiem figures out the serve and gets the ball in play, forcing the long rallies. Bublik needs more to win a match like this and his lack of experience doesn’t help matters. There’s also the fact Thiem was woken up in the first round with what was a competitive match where he could have been down 1-2 after a tiebreak. Top tier players usually respond convincingly in their next match.
I like Thiem in straight sets.