Dominic Thiem vs. Andrey Rublev
|Date & Time||Friday July 26, 2019, 8:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Andrey Rublev meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Rothenbaum tournament.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Marton Fucsovics that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 93 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 78 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 12 break points. Thiem got 51 percent of his first serves in play and saved his only break point. Thiem could obviously be better with his first serve percentage, but he’s won both matches in straight sets and we have to remember this is just his third match since the French Open. Thiem looks to win at least three matches for the third time in his last five tournaments. Thiem has won eight of his last nine matches on clay court.
Andrey Rublev is coming off a three sets win over Casper Ruud that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Rublev won 79 percent of his first serve points and 58 percent of his second serve points. Rublev won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his seven break points. Rublev got 69 percent of his first serves in play, saved three of his five break points and had eight aces. Rublev looks to win three straight matches on the main tour for the first time since 2018 Washington. Rublev has one career win over a top-10 player, which came in the 2017 US Open against Grigor Dimitrov. Rublev has won three of his last four matches on clay court.
Thiem has won both meetings, including the most recent match in 2018 Monte Carlo.
Rublev is playing some decent tennis as of late, but he’s not consistent or proven enough to beat Thiem on his favorite surface. Thiem has won both matches in straight sets and that’s with not getting his first serve in play at a high percentage. There’s another gear Thiem can reach, and that should worry the rest of the field.
Give me Thiem in straights once again.