Dominic Thiem vs. Diego Schwartzman
|Date & Time||Tuesday April 23, 2019, 9:30 AM (EDT)|
Real Club de Tenis Barcelona
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Diego Schwartzman meet in the second round of the 2019 tennis Barcelona.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a second match exit in Monte Carlo where he lost to the tournament runner-up, Dusan Lajovic in straight sets. Thiem is still trying to snap out of this funk that you thought was gone after his title in Indian Wells. Thiem is coming off a match in which he won just 57 percent of his total service points and was broken four times. Thiem has been very consistent on clay the last couple of years, but outside of his title in California, his play overall these last few months has been very sluggish and unpredictable. We’ll see if this tournament changes things. Thiem has split his last six matches on clay court.
Diego Schwartzman is coming off a three sets win over Yoshihito Nishioka that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Schwartzman won 62 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Schwartzman won 58 percent of his total service points and converted on seven of his 15 break points. Schwartzman sneaked into this tournament as a qualifier and really settled in after dropping the first set, losing just six combined games in the last two sets and getting 67 percent of his first serves in play. Schwartzman looks to win back-to-back matches on the main tour for the first time since February in Buenos Aires. Schwartzman has four career wins over top-10 players. Schwartzman has won six of his last nine matches on clay court.
Thiem has won three of the five meetings against Schwartzman, but he’s lost each of the last two clashes. The most recent meeting was this year in Bueno Aires, a match Schwartzman won in three sets. Thiem is 2-1 against Schwartzman on clay court and three of the five matches overall have been decided in straight sets.
Two of Schwartzman’s four career wins over top-10 players have come against Thiem, and he’s won the last two matches against him. Thiem also is in full struggle mode outside of his title in Indian Wells. This feels like a really spot to back Schwartzman. And while that play makes a lot of sense, I’m still siding with Thiem based on him being the more consistent, better player overall and the fact he should break out of this funk eventually. Schwartzman also hasn’t had a ton of success on the main tour in his own right.
Thiem should win this match. Should being the key word.