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Dominic Thiem vs. Gael Monfils 3/14/19 ATP Tour Indian Wells Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dominic Thiem vs. Gael Monfils
Date & Time Thursday March 14, 2019, 10:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Indian Wells Tennis Garden
Indian Wells, California
The Line
The Line: Monfils -146 / Thiem +126 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Tennis | Dominic Thiem vs. Gael Monfils
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Dominic Thiem and Gael Monfils meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis Indian Wells.

Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Ivo Karlovic that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 85 percent of his first serve points and 83 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 85 percent of his total service points and didn’t face a single break point. Thiem entered this tournament struggling with his form, but he’s won all six sets and is coming off his best serving performance in quite some time. If Thiem is able to repeat what he just did to a top-30 player, he’s more than capable of making a run at the biggest title of his career. Thiem hopes to make his fifth career Masters 1000 semifinal and first ever at Indian Wells. Thiem has won four of his last six matches on outdoor hard court.

Gael Monfils is coming off a straight sets win over Philipp Kohlschreiber that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Monfils won 77 percent of his first serve points and 71 percent of his second serve points. Monfils won 75 percent of his total service points and didn’t face a single break point in a victory that took just under an hour to finish. Monfils won the first seven games of the match and is clearly riding a level of focus we usually don’t see from the Frenchman. If Monfils can continue to stay locked in and make the smart plays instead of the flashy ones, he can continue this impressive winning stretch. Monfils has a shot at his first Masters 1000 semifinal since the 2016 Canadian Open, and his first ever Indian Wells semifinal appearance. Monfils has won six of his last eight matches on outdoor hard court.

These two have played four times and Thiem has won all of those matches, including the most recent meeting last year in Argentina. This will be the third meeting on hard court and two of the previous four matches went the distance.

Thiem and the plus money here is worth strong consideration given the h2h history and the fact he’s found his serve again. However, there’s something about the way Monfils is playing that makes him tough to bet against. Monfils has always been extremely talented but spent a lot of time entertaining and not taking matches as seriously as he should. What we’re seeing now is a player who is locked in and playing controlled tennis with less risky play. Monfils is a title contender when he’s putting it together like this.

Give me Monfils to reach his first ever Indian Wells semifinal.

Pick:
Gael Monfils -146

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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