Dimitrov vs. Thiem
|Date & Time||Monday November 13, 2017, 9:00 AM (EST)|
The Line: Dimitrov -225 / Thiem +175 -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Grigor Dimitrov meet in the 2017 ATP World Tour Finals.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets loss to Fernando Verdasco that took 20 games to decide. In the loss, Thiem won 58 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Thiem is in the ATP Finals for a second straight year, but it’s another season of him fading down the stretch, as he’s just 2-5 since the US Open and is just 20-17 on overall hard court this season. Thiem has made his money on clay court this season, and unless he can do a better job of getting his first serves in play, this is going to be another short trip. Confidence could be everything for Thiem, so a fast start is key for the 24-year-old. Thiem has lost six of his last eight matches on hard court.
Grigor Dimitrov is coming off a three sets loss to John Isner that took 38 games to decide. In the loss, Dimitrov won 89 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Dimitrov has enjoyed his best season yet, as he’s finally putting it together at 26 years old and playing consistent, less error filled tennis. Dimitrov no longer has as many down moments where he gets in his head and throws away a match because he can’t move on from a badly played game. Dimitrov has done a better job of improving his nerves, and that goes a long way when you throw in his talent level and ability to hit any shot on the court with consistency. Dimitrov may be the most excited player to be here, so it’s going to be fun to see what he has up his sleeve. Dimitrov has won six of his last nine matches on hard court.
These two have played three times and Thiem has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Madrid Masters, a match Thiem won in three sets. Dimitrov won this years match in the Brisbane International in three sets.
There may not be a more motivated player in this tournament than Dimitrov, as he’s been out to prove himself for a while and is finally tasting the benefits. Throw in Thiem’s current form, and I’m not sure how anybody can pick against the Bulgarian. Thiem has done nothing since the US Open that suggests he’s ready to compete against the best in the world.
Dimitrov wins this match.