Dominic Thiem vs. Pablo Cuevas
|Date & Time||Saturday June 1, 2019, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
Roland Garros Stadium
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Pablo Cuevas meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis French Open.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a four sets win over Alexander Bublik that took 43 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 83 percent of his first serve points and 49 percent of his second serve points. Thiem won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 11 break points. Thiem got 64 percent of his first serves in play and saved five of his seven break points. Thiem had just 16 unforced errors in the victory and has a combined 44 unforced errors in his last eight sets. As long as Thiem keeps playing clean tennis, he’s got a chance to push anybody in this tournament for the title. Thiem hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the ninth time in his last 11 tries. Thiem also looks for his fourth straight fourth round appearance in the French Open. Thiem has won 10 of his last 12 matches on clay court.
Pablo Cuevas is coming off a straight sets win over Kyle Edmund that took 25 games to decide, before he retired in the third set. In the victory, Cuevas won 79 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Cuevas won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his five break points. Cuevas got 62 percent of his first serves in play and had 34 winners in under two hours of play. Cuevas has been very consistent with his serve this tournament and has played a little over three hours of tennis to get to this point, so he should be fresh and ready to go. Cuevas looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Cuevas has five career wins over top-10 players. Cuevas has won 12 of his last 14 matches on clay court.
These two have played five times and Thiem has won three of those matches, including the most recent this year in Buenos Aires. Thiem is 3-1 against Cuevas on clay. Only two of the five matches were decided in straight sets.
Cuevas has a chance to push Thiem if he continues to get his first serve in play and limit the unforced errors. Cuevas also beat Thiem in the 2015 French Open and was competitive in their match this year. This could be a long match that takes four sets to decide. With that said, I still give the edge to Thiem, who is far more trustworthy in matches this big and has the ability to finish points on his terms consistently. Cuevas has hit a lot of winners through five sets, but he hasn’t been able to do that against the top tier players, and it’s why he usually gets bounced around this time in grand slam play.
Thiem wins in three or four sets.