Sam Querrey vs. Dominic Thiem
|Date & Time||Thursday October 25, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
|Location||Unknown Location Unknown Address|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Sam Querrey meet in the second round of the 2018 tennis Vienna Open.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Ruben Bemelmans that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 72 percent of his first serve points and 72 percent of his second serve points. Thiem dropped just 21 of 75 service points and managed to save all three of his break points. Thiem has been on a different level with his serve since the US Open, and it’s kind of put him in a different tier of tennis player. We know the effort and the defensive ability is there with Thiem, but when he’s bombing aces and not giving his opponent looks at second serves, he’s capable of beating anybody in the world. Thiem has now won 17 of his last 21 sets played. Thiem has won six of his last seven matches on indoor hard court.
Sam Querrey is coming off a three sets win over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Querrey won 93 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Querrey won 80 percent of his total service points and was broken just once on two break points. Querrey lost just three of 45 first serve points and hit 20 aces in the victory that took almost an hour and a half. Querrey is capable of making a deep tournament run if he continues to serve the way he just did. Querrey has now won six of his last nine matches and just won as a +115 underdog, so this is easily one of his better stretches of what has been an up and down season for the American. Querrey has won four of his last five matches on indoor hard court.
These two have played three times and Thiem has won two of those meetings. The most recent match was in Rome of 2017, a match Thiem won in three sets. Two of the three matches have been decided in straight sets, and they’ve split their two meetings on hard court.
Querrey has a chance to win this match if he’s going to blast 20 aces and dominate his first serve like he did in his opening match. However, Thiem has been a different player since his deep US Open run and is tough to bet against in his current form. I don’t think Querrey is capable of matching that level.
I like Thiem here.