Johnson vs. Thiem
|Date & Time||Friday June 2, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Johnson +560 / Thiem -820 -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Steve Johnson meet in the third round of the 2017 French Open.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Simone Bolelli that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 83 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Thiem has dropped just 15 games in his first two matches and is coming off a match in which he hit 42 winners. As long as Thiem avoids those mental lapses and stays dialed in each set, he'll continue to be a tough out regardless of who he plays. Unforced errors and loss of focus has been the issue for Thiem over the years. Thiem looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fifth time in his career. Thiem has won 10 of his last 13 matches on clay court.
Steve Johnson is coming off a four set win over Borna Coric that took 43 games to decide. In the victory, Johnson won 81 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Johnson managed to win a tight second round match with an effective service game and producing 54 winners. Johnson has now hit 114 winners in his first two matches and has forced four tiebreaks already. As long as Johnson can hit his spots and hold his serve, he's in a good position to make one of his deeper grand slam runs of his career. Johnson hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the second time in his career. Johnson has won eight of his last nine matches on clay court.
These two have played once in the past, which was in the 2014 Open de Nice Côte d'Azur, a match Thiem won in three sets. The match took 34 games to decide. This will obviously be the second meeting on clay.
This is going to be one of the better third round matches, as both guys are young players who have the ability to take that next step, it’s just a matter of consistency. They both have shotmaking skills and are tough to play when the serves are on point. Johnson is worth a look with these monster odds, but the bottom line is Thiem is the better player, hasn't had his usual drop off we see and has played far less tennis to get this point. We’ve seen Johnson ware down in the past due to lengthy matches, and that could very well happen here.
I like Thiem to advance in four sets.