Berdych vs. Thiem
|Date & Time||Monday July 10, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominic Thiem and Tomas Berdych meet in the fourth round of the 2017 Wimbledon.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a straight sets win over Jared Donaldson that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Thiem won 78 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Thiem has now won his last nine sets and is coming off an easy match despite getting just 56 percent of his first serves in play. Thiem has combined for 75 winners in his last two matches and has won 39 percent of his return points this tournament. Considering Thiem has yet to play his best tennis yet and is still in the fourth round, he has to like his chances moving forward. Thiem hopes to make his third career grand slam quarterfinal and first ever in the Wimbledon. Thiem has won eight of his last 12 matches on grass court.
Tomas Berdych is coming off a straight sets win over David Ferrer that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Berdych won 88 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Berdych has been broken just twice this tournament and is coming off a match in which he lost seven first serve points and won 42 percent of his return points. Everybody knows what Berdych can do with his power serve, but he’s an even tougher player to beat when he’s winning 35-plus percent of his return. Berdych is playing some of his best tennis of the season and has won 14 of his last 19 sets played overall. Berdych hopes to make a grand slam quarterfinal for the fourth time in six tries. Berdych also hopes to make his fifth career Wimbledon quarterfinal. Berdych has won five of his last six matches on grass court.
These two have played once before, which was in the 2014 US Open, a match Berdych won in straight sets. The match took 25 games to decide.
Thiem will have to be better with his service game if he expects to beat Berdych, as there’s going to be a lot of pressure to hold serve and win crucial points in this match. But with that said, Thiem is the better player overall here and his disciplined play should be the difference. Thiem will make Berdych win those long rallies if he hopes to prevail, and his return ability gives him another advantage.
I like Thiem to reach his first Wimbledon quarterfinal.