Gavrilova vs. Cibulkova
|Date & Time||Saturday August 26, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Dominika Cibulkova and Daria Gavrilova meet Saturday in the final of the 2017 Connecticut Open.
Dominika Cibulkova is coming off a straight sets win over Elise Mertens that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Cibulkova won 69 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Cibulkova has won her last six sets and is coming off a match in which she won 55 percent of her return points. Cibulkova has won no less than 46 percent of her return points in all three matches this tournament. When Cibulkova is hitting her spots and playing with that feisty attitude, it’s tough to break her rhythm. Few thrive off confidence and momentum the way Cibulkova does, and she’s feeling it right now. Cibulkova hopes to win her first title of the season and her ninth for her career. Cibulkova is 7-7 in final appearances on hard court. Cibulkova has won six of her last eight matches on hard court.
Daria Gavrilova is coming off a straight sets win over Agnieszka Radwanska that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Gavrilova won 67 percent of her first serve points and 55 percent of her second serve points. Gavrilova really overpowered her opponent in the semifinals victory, and she won 46 percent of her return points. Gavrilova is spraying winners all over the court, and her confidence is growing as she reaches her second final of the season. When you add in a serve that seems to be getting better each match, Gavrilova is playing some of the best tennis we've seen from her. Gavrilova hopes to win the first singles title of her career. Gavrilova is 0-1 in final appearances on hard court. Gavrilova has won five of her last six matches on hard court.
These two have played once, which was in the 2016 Wimbledon, a match Cibulkova won in straight sets. The match took 17 games to decide.
You could make a strong case for either one of these players and it’s probably tougher to bet against Gavrilova in her current form. However, Cibulkova has been here done that already, and she has the power, aggressive game to match the way Gavrilova is playing. This is a match that will be decided on who makes less unforced errors, and I have more trust in Cibulkova given her larger sample size in bigger matches.
Tight match, but I give the edge to Cibulkova.